
The stock market is hitting record highs, and two out of three Americans are responding by spending less — a disconnect that tells you everything about who the economy is actually working for right now.
Story Snapshot
- Two-thirds of consumers told the Conference Board they are cutting back on spending due to rising prices, as of May.
- Soaring gas and food costs are outpacing paycheck growth, draining real purchasing power for most households.
- The stock market’s record run is largely irrelevant to the 60% of Americans who own little or no equity.
- Sentiment surveys and actual retail spending data are different animals — but both are now pointing in the same uncomfortable direction.
The Market Is Winning. Your Grocery Bill Is Not.
Wall Street and Main Street have always operated on different clocks, but the gap has rarely been this visible. The Conference Board’s May consumer confidence data revealed that two-thirds of Americans said they are cutting back on overall spending because of rising prices. [4]
That is not a fringe response from a struggling minority. That is a supermajority of consumers quietly voting with their wallets against an economy the financial headlines keep calling strong.
U.S. consumer confidence slipped in May as war-driven inflation weighed on Americans: Two-thirds of Americans say they are cutting back on spending as gas prices and food costs stay elevated https://t.co/V99GPaDDao
— Quartz (@qz) May 26, 2026
The culprits are familiar but no less punishing. Soaring gas and food costs have worsened inflation, which is outpacing average pay growth, reducing most Americans’ purchasing power in real terms. [5]
A separate study found that 44% of Americans are driving less because of high gas prices, 42% have cut household expenses broadly, and 34% have made other significant lifestyle adjustments. [8]
These are not abstract statistics. These are people skipping road trips, buying store brands, and deciding which bill gets paid first.
Gas Prices and Middle East Conflict Are Squeezing Household Budgets
The conflict in the Middle East has added a volatile fuel-price shock to an already strained consumer environment. With the Strait of Hormuz under pressure, Brent crude prices surged, and that cost flowed directly to the pump and then into the price of nearly everything transported by truck. [10]
Consumers who were already stretched thin found themselves absorbing another hit they had not budgeted for and could not easily avoid. Gasoline is not a discretionary purchase for most working Americans.
A new poll found that over 40 percent of Americans are cutting household expenses specifically in response to overnight gas price spikes. [7] That kind of rapid behavioral shift does not happen when people feel financially secure.
It happens when the margin between income and expenses has been compressed to the point where one price increase triggers a chain reaction of cutbacks. The speed of that response is itself a warning signal worth taking seriously.
Stock Market Wealth Does Not Reach Most American Households
The standard counterargument goes like this: the market is up, household net worth is rising, so consumers should feel confident. The problem with that argument is distribution.
Stock market gains are heavily concentrated among the wealthiest Americans, who own the vast majority of equities. For the broad middle class, a Dow Jones record is roughly as useful as a report that yacht sales are booming.
Stocks climbing on strong tech and earnings growth simply does not translate into relief at the checkout line. [6]
This is the economy’s most persistent and underreported fracture. A growing share of Americans say they are cutting back on purchases and tightening their spending in the face of renewed inflation [9], while financial media celebrates index milestones. Both things are true simultaneously, and that is precisely the point.
The people celebrating the market and the people cutting back on groceries are increasingly different people. Pretending otherwise is not analysis — it is a talking point.
What Sentiment Surveys Actually Tell You — and What They Don’t
Consumer sentiment data deserves a fair reading, not a dismissive one. Critics rightly note that self-reported “cutting back” is not the same as measured retail expenditure.
People sometimes say they are spending less while their credit card statements tell a different story. [4] That gap between stated intention and actual behavior is real and worth acknowledging.
But when two-thirds of respondents in a rigorous Conference Board survey give the same answer, and when gas price polls, household expense data, and lifestyle adjustment numbers all point the same direction, the pattern is not a polling artifact. It is a signal.
The more honest framing is this: Americans are being squeezed by inflation that has not fully relented, in an economy where the headline numbers favor asset owners over wage earners.
Consumers are not confused about their situation. They are accurately describing it. The question worth asking is not whether the survey methodology is perfect — it is why the people running economic policy keep pointing at the stock market as proof that everything is fine.
Sources:
[4] Web – Consumer confidence steady, but Americans say they’re cutting …
[5] Web – US Consumer Confidence – The Conference Board
[6] Web – As US stock market hits new highs, 2 of 3 Americans are cutting …
[7] YouTube – As stocks continue to rise, many Americans are still feeling an …
[8] YouTube – Gas prices spike overnight; new poll shows over 40% of Americans …
[9] Web – Americans tighten belts as prices bite
[10] Web – More Americans say they are cutting back on spending and blame …














